Estimating The Impact Of Out-Of-Pocket Cost Changes On Abandonment Of HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis.

Oral HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is highly effective for preventing HIV. Several different developments in the US either threaten to increase or promise to decrease PrEP out-of-pocket costs and access in the coming years. In a sample of 58,529 people with a new insurer-approved PrEP prescription, we estimated risk-adjusted percentages of patients who abandoned (did not fill) their initial prescription across six out-of-pocket cost categories. We then simulated the percentage of patients who would abandon PrEP under hypothetical changes to out-of-pocket costs, ranging from $0 to more than $500. PrEP abandonment rates of 5.5 percent at $0 rose to 42.6 percent at more than $500; even a small increase from $0 to $10 doubled the rate of abandonment. Conversely, abandonment rates that were 48.0 percent with out-of-pocket costs of more than $500 dropped to 7.3 percent when those costs were cut to $0. HIV diagnoses were two to three times higher among patients who abandoned PrEP prescriptions than among those who filled them. These results imply that recent legal challenges to the provision of PrEP with no cost sharing could substantially increase PrEP abandonment and HIV rates, upending progress on the HIV/AIDS epidemic.

Association Between Organizational Quality and Out-of-Network Primary Care Among Accountable Care Organizations That Care for High vs Low Proportions of Patients of Racial and Ethnic Minority Groups.

Importance: Medicare accountable care organizations (ACOs) that disproportionately care for patients of racial and ethnic minority groups deliver lower quality care than those that do not, potentially owing to differences in out-of-network primary care among them. Objective: To examine how organizational quality is associated with out-of-network primary care among ACOs that care for high vs low proportions of patients of racial and ethnic minority groups. Design Setting and Participants: A retrospective cohort study was conducted between March 2019 and October 2021 using claims data (2013 to 2016) from a national sample of Medicare beneficiaries. Among beneficiaries who were assigned to 1 of 528 Medicare ACOs, a distinction was made between those treated by organizations that cared for high (vs low) proportions of patients of racial and ethnic minority groups. For each ACO, the amount of out-of-network primary care that it delivered annually was determined. Multivariable models were fit to evaluate how the quality of care that beneficiaries received varied by the proportion of care provided to patients of racial and ethnic minority groups by the ACO and its amount of out-of-network primary care. Exposures: The degree of care provided to patients of racial and ethnic minority groups by the ACO and its amount of out-of-network primary care. Main Outcomes and Measures: The ACO quality assessed with 5 preventive care services and 4 utilization metrics. Results: Among 3 955 951 beneficiary-years (2 320 429 [58.7%] women; 71 218 [1.8%] Asian, 267 684 [6.8%] Black, 44 059 [1.1%] Hispanic, 4922 [0.1%] North American Native, and 3 468 987 [87.7%] White individuals and 56 157 [1.4%] of Other race and ethnicity), those assigned to ACOs serving many patients of racial and ethnic minority groups at the mean level of out-of-network primary care were less likely than those assigned to ACOs serving fewer patients of racial and ethnic minority groups to receive diabetic retinal examinations (predicted probability, 49.4% [95%CI, 49.0%-49.7%] vs 51.6% [95% CI, 51.5%-51.8%]), glycated hemoglobin testing (predicted probability, 58.5% [95% CI, 58.2%-58.5%] vs 60.4% [95% CI, 60.3%-60.6%]), or low-density lipoprotein cholesterol testing (predicted probability, 85.2% [95% CI, 85.0%-85.5%] vs 86.0% [95% CI, 85.9%-86.1%]). They were also more likely to experience all-cause 30-day readmissions (predicted probability, 16.4% [95% CI, 16.1%-16.7%] vs 15.7% [95% CI, 15.6%-15.8%]). However, as the level of out-of-network primary care decreased, these gaps closed substantially, such that beneficiaries at ACOs that served many and fewer patients of racial and ethnic minority groups in the lowest percentile of out-of-network primary care received care of comparable quality. Conclusions and Relevance: This large cohort study found that quality performance among ACOs serving many patients of racial and ethnic minority groups was negatively associated with their level of out-of-network primary care.

The Clinical Utility of the MOCA in iNPH Assessment.

Objectives: We sought to estimate reliable change thresholds for the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) for older adults with suspected Idiopathic Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus (iNPH). Furthermore, we aimed to determine the likelihood that shunted patients will demonstrate significant improvement on the MoCA, and to identify possible predictors of this improvement. Methods: Patients (N = 224) presenting with symptoms of iNPH were given a MoCA assessment at their first clinic visit, and also before and after tap test (TT) or extended lumbar drainage (ELD). Patients who were determined to be good candidates for shunts (N = 71, 31.7%) took another MoCA assessment following shunt insertion. Reliable change thresholds for MoCA were derived using baseline visit to pre-TT/ELD assessment using nine different methodologies. Baseline characteristics of patients whose post-shunt MoCA did and did not exceed the reliable change threshold were compared. Results: All nine of reliable change methods indicated that a 5-point increase in MoCA would be reliable for patients with a baseline MoCA from 16 to 22 (38.4% of patients). Furthermore, a majority of reliable change methods indicated that a 5-point increase in MoCA would be reliable for patients with a baseline MoCA from 14 to 25. Reliable change thresholds varied across methods from 4 to 7 points for patients outside of this range. 10.1% had at least a 5-point increase from baseline to post-TT/ELD. Compared to patients who did not receive a shunt, patients who received a shunt did not have lower average MoCA at baseline (p = 0.88) or have better improvement in MoCA scores after the tap test (p = 0.17). Among shunted patients, 23.4% improved by at least 5 points on the MoCA from baseline to post-shunt. Time since onset of memory problems and post-TT/ELD gait function were the only clinical factors significantly associated with having a reliable change in MoCA after shunt insertion (p = 0.019; p = 0.03, respectively). Conclusions: In patients with iNPH, clinicians could consider using a threshold of 5 points for determining whether iNPH-symptomatic patients have experienced cognitive benefits from cerebrospinal fluid drainage at an individual level. However, a reliable change cannot be detected for patients with a baseline MoCA of 26 or greater, necessitating a different cognitive assessment tool for these patients.

Accountable Care Organizations and Spending for Patients Undergoing Long-Term Dialysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Despite representing 1% of the population, beneficiaries on long-term dialysis account for over 7% of Medicare's fee-for-service spending. Because of their focus on care coordination, Accountable Care Organizations may be an effective model to reduce spending inefficiencies for this population. We analyzed Medicare data to examine time trends in long-term dialysis beneficiary alignment to Accountable Care Organizations and differences in spending for those who were Accountable Care Organization aligned versus nonaligned. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: In this retrospective cohort study, beneficiaries on long-term dialysis between 2009 and 2016 were identified using a 20% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries. Trends in alignment to an Accountable Care Organization were compared with alignment of the general Medicare population from 2012 to 2016. Using an interrupted time series approach, we examined the association between Accountable Care Organization alignment and the primary outcome of total spending for long-term dialysis beneficiaries from prior to Accountable Care Organization implementation (2009-2011) through implementation of the Comprehensive ESRD Care model in October 2015. We fit linear regression models with generalized estimating equations to adjust for patient characteristics. RESULTS: During the study period, 135,152 beneficiaries on long-term dialysis were identified. The percentage of long-term dialysis beneficiaries aligned to an Accountable Care Organization increased from 6% to 23% from 2012 to 2016. In the time series analysis, spending on Accountable Care Organization-aligned beneficiaries was $143 (95% confidence interval, $5 to $282) less per beneficiary-quarter than spending for nonaligned beneficiaries. In analyses stratified by whether beneficiaries received care from a primary care physician, savings by Accountable Care Organization-aligned beneficiaries were limited to those with care by a primary care physician ($235; 95% confidence interval, $73 to $397). CONCLUSIONS: There was a substantial increase in the percentage of long-term dialysis beneficiaries aligned to an Accountable Care Organization from 2012 to 2016. Moreover, in adjusted models, Accountable Care Organization alignment was associated with modest cost savings among long-term dialysis beneficiaries with care by a primary care physician.